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  A letter from Susan Ellison in Bolivia  
             
 

September 29, 2004

Dear Friends,

In the days leading up to July’s referendum on gas, we seemed to be preparing for the worst. Less than a year into his term, Carlos Mesa would fulfill one of the promises he made on October 17, 2003, when he was sworn-in as President, the same night Bolivia’s then-president, Gonzalo Sanchez the Lozada, fled the country.

During October of 2003, Bolivians rallied to reject Sanchez de Lozada’s plan to export natural gas supplies to Mexico and the United States via Chile. The Bolivian government reacted with violent repression, killing dozens of people and wounding hundreds. In response, protests escalated, calling for the President’s resignation. He had killed too many of his own people to retain any legitimacy as President. While the U.S. government backed Sanchez de Lozada, claiming it was necessary to support him in order to preserve democracy—even as he massacred his own people—it was the Bolivians who were calling for a democratic end to the violence through the constitutional succession of Vice President Carlos Mesa.

In his speech accepting the presidency, Carlos Mesa made a commitment to take seriously the “October Agenda” and the demands of Bolivia’s socially, politically, and economically excluded indigenous and poor peoples. They wanted a true voice in the policies that affect their lives. Mesa responded, agreeing to two mechanisms for greater democratic participation—“little ‘d’ democracy,” not U.S. style representative democracy, but a much more participatory, grassroots democracy. Mesa promised Bolivians that he would hold a referendum on the sale of Bolivia’s natural gas supplies. And he promised a constitutional assembly to re-found Bolivia with the writing of a new constitution.

 
             
  Photograph of a group of men who are part of a demonstration march. One holds a sign that says, in Spanish, "Nationalize gas!"
People demonstrated in the streets of La Paz in favor of nationalizing Bolivia's natural gas.
  But as we neared the date for the referendum, national debate again turned volatile. The debate focused on the five official referendum questions that the government presented. Some opposition leaders and political analysts thought the questions were too vague, too open for interpretation, and had been manipulated to elicit “yes” votes. Others denounced that the fact that the referendum would only apply to future gas contracts, not the 78 existing contracts signed in previous years.  
             
 

They accused the government of giving people the illusion of having a say in the gas issue while denying them real control of natural gas supplies. The question so many people had wanted to see—“Are you in favor of the nationalization of Bolivia’s gas supplies?”—was not on the ballot at all.

Some labor and campesino groups called for a boycott, or for Bolivians to destroy their ballots on election day. They called the referendum a trap that Mesa’s administration would use to legitimize its neoliberal policies. Other opposition leaders questioned the call to boycott, accusing their fellow leftist leaders of colluding with rightist interests to destabilize the government and create conditions favorable for a coup.

International commentators couldn’t understand the seeming illogic of Bolivia’s labor, campesino, and indigenous movements. They had wanted this referendum, and now many of them were calling for a boycott. “Are these groups capable of anything but criticism and protest?” they asked. How could Bolivians throw away their chance for development and be so persuaded by populist and nationalist rhetoric?

In order to understand why people approached the referendum with such mistrust—and reacted so angrily to what they perceived as manipulative questions—it’s helpful to understand the historical context. Bolivians understand that a country rich in natural resources, in zinc, copper, tin and gold, is not the same as a wealthy country. For centuries, they watched as elites of European descent grew wealthy, enriching other countries and international companies while impoverishing Bolivia. Bolivians wanted to assure that the country’s natural gas supplies would not be squandered. They wanted to see the benefits reach average Bolivians, not just a few elites. And so they approached the referendum cautiously, critically. For several months before the actual vote, Bolivians held hundreds of workshops to analyze the referendum as a democratic process, to debate the five questions, to discuss the merits of voting or boycotting, to challenge the information coming out of the government with more independent research and proposals.

On the weekend of July 18, the government imposed a curfew. Clubs and bars shut down. Businesses closed. Driving was only allowed for emergencies. We prepared ourselves for the possibility of another October, stocking up on produce and canned goods, nervously predicting what might happen. But on July 18, the streets were empty except for strolling families or makeshift soccer games. Throughout the day, people made their way to the polls.

On all five questions, the “yes” vote won. The government quickly claimed victory, saying that the majority of Bolivians had ratified its leadership on the gas issue and had shown general support for the administration.

But there were many Bolivians that day who cast their vote despite their deep doubts about the five questions. As one friend put it, “I don’t support the way the government has worded these questions, but I do support the idea of a referendum. I fear that if we don’t participate now, it will give our critics the ammunition they need to say we had a chance at participatory democracy but we threw it away. And we cannot jeopardize the constitutional assembly.”

Of Bolivia’s 4,458,293 registered voters, only about 60 percent voted, despite governmental threats that participation was mandatory. Some people stayed home, refusing to participate in the flawed referendum. Around 12 percent of votes were annulled, many of them destroyed or invalidated because the word “nationalization” was written across the ballot. Those voters participated in the process, but showed their discontent with the options they were given. Other people left sections of their ballots blank, especially on the fourth and fifth questions where 17 and 16 percent were left blank respectively (indicating confusion over the wording or uncertainty about how to respond).

Finally, interviews following the referendum indicated that those “yes” votes often represented very different interpretations of ambiguous questions. Thus an ardent supporter of nationalization and a capitalist investor in private industries may have voted “yes” on the same question.

In the wake of the July 18 referendum, questions still remain about how Bolivians will receive the Mesa administration’s policies on gas as they become more concrete. I was left with the feeling that the issue had been postponed, that the ambiguity of the five questions will kindle conflict again in the future.

We now turn our attention to the constitutional assembly, another democratic “mechanism” that has the potential to allow historically excluded people the chance to participate in the formulation of a new constitution. It also has the potential to repeat Bolivia’s oppressive history. Many of my colleagues express their concern that the assembly will be controlled by those same interests that have always been able to set the nation’s agenda: the ruling economic and political elite. Wary of that possibility, some grassroots groups argue that the assembly is merely an effort to mollify the demands of excluded Bolivians, that it will not affect real change, but rather legalize and lend a false legitimacy to exclusionary laws and policies. Others believe this is a real opportunity for historically excluded Bolivians to articulate concrete demands and a vision for how they would re-make their country—and to develop the constitutional and legal framework to back that vision.

And so the debate begins over the merits of the constitutional assembly, its ability to deconstruct and possibly reconstruct Bolivia.

Peace,

Susan

The 2004 Mission Yearbook for Prayer & Study, p. 152

 
             
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