Comparative Statistics 2011 - Table 1

PC(USA) Congregations and Membership, 2000 to 2011

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  1. I've sent a strong note to Moderator, Rev. Presa that PCUSA should solve the problem of homsexuality and not try to live with it. Scientists at Emory U. have plublished data that would enable a solution. Ed Koster's "Courage to declare' is excellent. PCUSA would follow his statement that the denomination is mirroring society. That is not how we have arrived in the 21st Century.

    by Wayne H. Freeman

    April 4, 2014

  2. There are many ways to answer the question of "if present trends continue, how long will the [Presbyterian] Church last?" For one thing, it depends on which period of time is chosen for the current or past trend--three years, five, ten, 25, 50? And what sort of trend line is used--linear, exponential, logarithmic, etc.? Here are a few values I get for the next ten years, and the assumptions behind each. Keep in mind that the 2012 membership for the PC(USA) is 1.85 million. --Ten-year linear projection, based on 2006 to 2012 data: around 1.2 million --Ten-year linear projection, base on 1983 to 2012 data: around 1.55 million --Ten-year second-orderpolynomial function based on 2006 to 2012 data: around 0.8 million --Ten-year second-order polynomial function (second order) based on 1983 to 2012 data: 1.35 million If I keep trying various assumptions, I can come up with a projection that would have the PC(USA) disappearing before 2020. But I don't for a moment think that is at all realistic. Will the PC(USA) continue to show net membership losses? Yes, for the foreseeable future; given that we've now had annual net losses for 47 years running, any other scenario seems a bit fanciful. But projections are exercises, not predictions, and I would be very, very hesitant to guess what the membership number will at any specific future date.

    by Jack Marcum

    August 27, 2013

  3. If present trends continue how long will the Church last?

    by Tom Dailey

    August 25, 2013

  4. We are working on the 2012 Comparative Statistics tables, and should have them ready by the end of July. If you have a specific statistic you are interested in, please contact Ida Smith-Williams in Research Services:

    by Jack Marcum

    June 24, 2013

  5. I'd be interested in seeing the 2012 statistics if they are available.

    by Jim Dove

    June 22, 2013

  6. Actually, that represents a 22 percent drop in membership over ten years. The only word to describe that is "tanking."

    by Pete Larson

    April 21, 2013

  7. A 20% drop in membership should be a wake-up call to someone. (hint: it's a strong indication that the leadership is out of touch and going in the wrong direction)

    by Ralph Babcock

    October 11, 2012

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