| Outlook
2004: Uninsured, Medicaid, Mental Health Parity, HIV/AIDS, and
Implementing the Medicare Drug Law
By Carolynn Race
Associate for Domestic Poverty, Health Care and Environmental
Issues
In the first session of the 108th Congress (2003), the most significant
health policy development was the passage of a prescription drug
benefit for Medicare beneficiaries. The legislation, which funds
$400 billion over 10 years for prescription drugs for seniors
and people with disabilities, is coupled, as Mary Agnes Carey
of Congressional Quarterly noted, with “a fundamental shift
in the composition of the program in its provision requiring that
private health insurance companies compete for the health care
of America’s senior citizens” and people with disabilities.
The funding is not nearly enough to provide a universal benefit,
since the Congressional Budget Office estimated (prior to the
passage of the drug benefit) that $1.8 trillion would be spent
on prescription drugs by seniors in the next 10 years.
When Congress returns to Washington in 2004, Members will be faced
with a myriad of health care concerns including the increasing
number of uninsured, the HIV/AIDS pandemic, and the escalating
cost of prescription drugs and health care premiums, along with
legislation to promote parity for mental health care, to restructure
Medicaid, and to improve the Medicare prescription drug benefit.
The President will deliver the State of the Union on January 20,
2004 and will release his budget in early February. According
to the Washington Post, one issue said to be on the short list
as a priority issue is providing health insurance for every child.
Uninsured
The number of people who are uninsured grew by 2.4 million between
2001 and 2002, to 43.6 million, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
That means that an estimated 15.2% of the population had no health
coverage during all of 2002. The Census Bureau noted that the
overall increase in uninsured is attributable to the decrease
in the percentage covered by employment-based health insurance.
Public programs, particularly Medicaid, covered more people through
this time period and helped soften the loss of employer-based
health insurance.
Those who are insured are experiencing increased costs for health
insurance premiums and prescription drugs. According to the National
Coalition on Health Care, health insurance premiums rose at a
rate eight times faster than general inflation in 2002, experiencing
the largest one-year surge in premiums in more than a decade.
In the absence of comprehensive reform, the average annual premium
for employer-sponsored family health insurance could reach $14,545
by 2006.
No federal legislation was passed in 2003 that called for health
care for all. With the upcoming Presidential and Congressional
elections, one can expect increased political dialogue in 2004
from candidates about how to tackle the issue of the uninsured.
Prospects are less likely that Congress will resolve this issue
this year. Legislation on the subject includes the Health Care
Access Resolution (H Con Res 99 and S Con Res 41), sponsored respectively
by Rep. Conyers (D-MI) and Senator Kennedy (D-MA), which would
direct the Congress to enact legislation by October 2005 that
provides access to comprehensive health care for all Americans.
HIV/AIDS
According to UNAIDS, “The global HIV/AIDS epidemic killed
more than 3 million people in 2003, and an estimated 5 million
acquired the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)—bringing
to 40 million the number of people living with the virus around
the world.” An estimated 25-28 million of those living with
HIV/AIDS live in sub-Saharan Africa, but UNAIDS remarked that
more recent epidemics continue to grow - in China, Indonesia,
Papua New Guinea, Viet Nam, several Central Asian Republics, the
Baltic States, and North Africa. (For more information, go to
http://www.unaids.org/en/default.asp and click on “AIDS
Epidemic Update 2003.”)
In the United States, an estimated 800,000 to 900,000 people are
currently living with HIV, with approximately 40,000 new HIV infections
occurring in the U.S. every year, according to the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention. (For more information, go to http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/pubs/facts.htm.)
The omnibus appropriations bill yet to be approved by the U.S.
Senate would increase fiscal year 2004 federal spending on President
Bush’s global AIDS initiative to $2.4 billion, $400 billion
more than the Bush administration requested (though Bush’s
five-year, $15 billion initiative authorized $3 billion in the
first year). The omnibus bill could be brought to the Senate floor
as early as January 20, 2004. Following passage of an omnibus
appropriations bill, one can expect continued action through the
appropriations’ process to fund this HIV/AIDS initiative.
Mental Health Parity
Senator Pete Domenici (R-NM) sponsored the Senator Paul Wellstone
Mental Health Equitable Treatment Act of 2003 (S. 486) as a tribute
to the late Senator, with whom Senator Domenici had sponsored
similar legislation. S. 486 and the House version, HR 953, would
bolster the 1996 Mental Health Parity Act by prohibiting group
health plans from providing unequal coverage of mental health
care compared to medical/surgical health care. Though the legislation
has 67 co-sponsors in the Senate and 242 co-sponsors in the House,
it was not brought to a vote in either chamber in 2003. Senator
Domenici said that he received assurances from Senators Judd Gregg
(R-NH), Chair of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee,
and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) that the Senate would
move on this legislation as soon as Congress returns in 2004,
according to CongressDaily.
Medicaid
In his FY 2004 budget proposal, President Bush recommended significantly
altering the way Medicaid is funded and administered. The proposal
called for providing states the option of additional funding for
Medicaid in the short term, but such funding would come with a
catch: states would have to repay those funds in later years and
would consent to restructure their Medicaid and SCHIP programs
into a capped, consolidated block grant. The proposal was not
adopted in 2003. However, as states continue to face fiscal crises,
as health care costs continue to rise, and with the federal government
faced with an enormous deficit, one can expect Congress and the
Administration to consider alternative approaches to funding this
program, which finances health and long-term care services for
47 million lower-income Americans. Past General Assemblies of
the PC(USA) have called for Medicaid to be expanded and strengthened.
Improving the Medicare Drug Benefit
President Bush signed the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit into
law on December 8, 2003, and polls already indicate a mixed reaction
to the new law. A December 8th ABC News/Washington Post poll found
that 32% of respondents approved of the new legislation, 38% disapproved,
and 30% said they had no opinion. Of those surveyed ages 65 and
older, 26% approved, compared with 47% who disapproved, and 28%
who had no opinion. In a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released the
same day, 52% approved of the legislation, while 30% disapproved.
Among respondents ages 65 and older, 46% said they supported the
law, compared with 39% who opposed it. About 80% percent of respondents
overall said they were concerned that the prescription drug benefit
as written will be inadequate and among respondents ages 65 and
older, 56% said they were "very concerned" about an
inadequate benefit.
Public reaction to the legislation’s shortfalls is likely
to spur legislation to improve the law. The issues of drug reimportation
from Canada, the escalating cost of prescription drugs, and concern
about direct competition of Medicare with private insurers are
likely to be debated again in 2004. In early December, Senate
Minority Leader Tom Daschle (D-SD), who opposed the prescription
drug bill, introduced legislation, S. 1974, to repeal several
provisions and allow the reimportation of drugs from Canada and
Western Europe. In addition, Daschle’s legislation would
repeal the pilot project that would allow private insurers to
compete directly with Medicare in 2010 along with the $12 billion
in subsidies to private health plans. His legislation would also
repeal the provision in the prescription drug bill that prohibits
the federal government from negotiating for lower drug prices
from drug companies. |