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Maybe it is a well-thought out strategy. Maybe not. The Bush
Administration sits back, disengaged, and waits for the parties
to get serious about peace. It was a tactic chosen in 1990 by
the first President Bush and his Secretary of State, James Baker,
used to deal with Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir's recalcitrant
stance. Then came the Gulf War, which reshuffled alignments
in the region, and internationally; and in the Fall of 1991
dealt hands to reluctant players gathered around the table in
Madrid - Israel, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and a Palestinian delegation
with the U.S., the Soviet Union and others. Now, again, waiting
for them to quit fighting seems to be the main component of
this Bush Administration's strategy.
As a reporter asked at the State Department press briefing
on February 20: "Have you guys resigned yourselves to the
fact that you're not going to be able to do anything except
issue statements like this from the podium?" (The spokesman
had said, again, that the U.S. is deeply troubled about the
violence and thinks the Palestinian Authority needs to take
action to halt the terror, and asks Israel to avoid actions
that make this objective harder to obtain.)
Fortunately, new initiatives are flowing into the vacuum of
U.S. inaction.
If Washington Won't Step In, Who Will?
That is the front-page headline of an article in The
New York Times Week-in-Review section on February 24. The
writer sums up Washington's strategy as "stand squarely
with Mr. Sharon to isolate and pressure Mr. Arafat to crack
down on violence." Then he reports on suggestions, all
centered on the premise that renewed American involvement is
the key, including enlisting Mr. Baker as a special envoy.
Indeed, each of the emerging alternatives recognizes the centrality
of U.S. involvement, but the alternatives jump over the end-of-violence
obstacle, and into nego- tiations.
Advocates of Israeli-Palestinian peace in the United States
need to push the Administration to cooperate with its allies
in paving a new path. Recent initiatives are outlined here with
the realization that some may fade and others may build in the
time before they come before the reader.
Crown Prince Abdullah's Initiative
Bypassing normal diplomatic channels, Saudi Arabia's leader
gave Thomas Friedman, an American journalist, the big story
(which was published in The New York Times February 17
edition). Abdullah told Friedman that he expected to encourage
the Arab League, when it meets on March 27-28, to offer normalized
relations to Israel in return for its withdrawal from the land
occupied in 1967.
Some would dismiss his proposal as a public relations ploy.
Clearly, Saudi Arabia's standing as a U.S. ally has been appreciably
damaged by the onslaught of criticism related to the September
11 attacks on the United States.
For decades, oil and petrodollars fueled the U.S.-Saudi relationship,
which flourished despite the vast cultural differences between
the theocratic monarchy and the democratic superpower. Saudi
Arabia has for years ranked first as customer for U.S. arms
makers. The Saudis are reported (by The Washington Post
on February 11), to have spent well over $100 billion on American
weapons, construction and support. And of additional benefit
to the U.S. has been the Saudi investment in Western financial
institutions; estimated at between $500-800 billion into the
American economy. The Saudis have contributed to every presidential
library as well as Barbara Bush's campaign against illiteracy
and Nancy Reagan's "Just Say No" anti-drug program.
Perhaps it's the money that helped to muffle U.S. criticism
of Saudi Arabia's repressive governance practices and religious
intolerance; perhaps it's the importance placed on Saudi Arabia's
strategic value - because of its oil and location. The U.S.
bombing of Iraq, which has continued for more than10 years now,
is dependent upon facilities provided to the U.S. by the Saudi
regime. The U.S. promised to with- draw from Saudi Arabia once
the job of expelling Iraq's army from Kuwait was done, or when
asked to leave. About 5,000 U.S. troops remain today, and a
state-of-the-art command center has been built by the Pentagon.
This outrages the clerics and followers of the proselytizing
Wahhabi movement, which provides religious legitimacy for the
House of Saud's rule.
That 15 of the September 11 hijackers came from Saudi Arabia
compelled groundbreaking investigation and reporting of the
murky U.S.-Saudi relationship and the dynamics of Saudi society.
The royal family found itself in a dangerous situation. As with
all the Arab and Muslim governments cooperating with the U.S.
in the anti-terror campaign, their populations are rife with
anti-American sentiment motivated by Palestinian suffering and
humiliation under Israel's military might, with arms supplied
free by the United States.
No matter what spurred the Saudi peace initiative, it can be
said the Crown Prince's proposal has momentum. Everywhere, reporters
are querying officials. The content of the proposal reiterates
the basic land-for-peace formula, but its importance lies in
it being voiced by the Saudi leader. By placing Arab recognition
of Israel as a starting point, it may be possible to restore
hope for Israelis that peace is really possible, i.e. with the
whole Arab world, as well as hope for Palestinians that the
occupation can be ended through diplomatic means.
The best antidote to the use of violence by Palestinian militants
would be Palestinian confidence that the international community,
the United States and Israel were serious about fulfilling the
requirements of UNSC Res. 242 and 338. The appeal of violent
actions could evaporate if the prospects for a negotiated peace
were real again.
U.N. Security Council
A U.N. role may be at the center of a new initiative. The Security
Council already has an historical authority over the Occupied
Territories and the determination of their sovereignty that
dates back to the League of Nations' assumption of the collapsed
Ottoman Empire. The United Nations' partition of British-mandate
Palestine into a Jewish state and an Arab state, and the Security
Council's Resolution 242 in 1967 form the internationally legal
basis for the two-state solution.
Secretary General Kofi Annan, addressing the Security Council
on February 21, spoke of nearing the edge of the abyss as he
considered the toll of dead and wounded and intensified bitterness.
Annan supports the Mitchell Committee's recommendations "in
principle," but noted they had not been implemented "in
practice" and that trying to solve the security problem
on its own would not work. (This report by an international
committee led by former Senator George Mitchell calls for a
cessation of violence, followed by confidence building steps
- including a freeze of settlement activity leading to bilateral
negotiations. See www.cmep.org)
The key political issues, particularly the question of land
and the increasingly desperate social and economic conditions
of the Palestinians, must be addressed, as well as security.
Annan has asked the UN Special Coordinator for the Mideast Peace
Process, Terje Roed Larsen, to intensify his consultations with
the parties. (Larsen's Gaza headquarters were damaged by Israeli
airstrikes on February 10.)
The Security Council has agreed to hold periodic consultations
on the Middle East. A resolution from Arab diplomats is, at
the time of this writing, being brought before the Security
Council. The first draft of the resolution builds upon an initiative
from Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Abdullah. It focuses on Arab
state recognition of Israel in return for a full Israeli withdrawal
from the West Bank and Gaza.
Cheney on a Mission?
Vice President Dick Cheney is going to the region in March.
It was being said he will not focus on peacemaking but on broader
American relationships in the region as the war on terrorism
expands. But, as visiting professor at Princeton Stephen Cohen
says; "He's going on the reigning theory that you can have
a solution to the United States relationship to terror- ism
and the spread of weapons of mass destruction without dealing
with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This trip is going to
test that assumption."
The President's State of the Union casting of Iran and Iraq
as an "axis of evil" alarmed many U.S. allies, in
the region, in Europe and beyond. The Administration's internal
battle about if/when/how it might unilaterally attack Saddam
Hussein is blatantly inconsistent with the international tenor
of the anti-terrorism campaign it is working to hold together.
Around dining tables and over endless cups of tea and thick
coffee, Mr. Cheney is certain to hear plenty of appeals for
the United States to work with the United Nations and the international
community to construct an Israeli-Palestinian track for peacemaking.
Much will be made of the short-comings, indeed huge failings,
of both leaders - Sharon and Arafat. Some will say that peace
is not possible with one or the other. Yet, as Mr. Arafat reminded
reporters, "He [Mr. Sharon] demolished by himself all the
settlements [in Sinai.] If there's a will there's a way."
For now, the Crown Prince's initiative seems to have changed
the planned agenda for the V.P.'s trip. Secretary of State Powell,
at the time of this writing, is saying that Cheney would seek
to "flesh out the crown prince's ideas." Those ideas
don't constitute a plan or blue-print, but do shift the debate
away from who's to blame for the not stopping the violence back
toward the vision of a common future for the two peoples living
in two states and sharing the city they both claim as their
capital.
Urgent Action:
A new resolution is likely to come before the Security Council
for consideration. A U.S. veto would be a setback for peace
and further harden anti-American sentiment. A probable time
for diplomatic decision-making would be late March, following
Mr. Cheney's trip and the Arab League meeting of March 27-28.
Of course, the danger continues that new violence might again
blow
consideration of peace off the table. Advocates will want to
stay abreast of changing events and the progress of the crown
prince's initiative and the potential emergence of other initiatives.
Write: Personal letters continue to be considered
the most effective form of communication with governmental officials.
Your separate letter to each should be short and focused on
the following points which you might adapt as appropriate for
changing circumstances.
- Urge the United States government to support initiatives
that can restore confidence that peace is possible.
- Ask him to support the proposal of the Saudi Arabian Crown
Prince as a starting place for a comprehensive peace settlement
that has inter- national support.
- Ask that he support the United States working with a United
Nations-based process. If a UNSC resolution is foreseen, ask
that the United States support it and express concern that
a U.S. veto would be a setback for peace and further harden
anti-American sentiment.
- Now is the time to formulate a plan to actually implement
UNSC Res. 242 and 338.
- To Secretary Powell, express appreciation for U.S. efforts
to calm the violence and implement the Mitchell Committee
report, and regret that that approach has not been fruitful.
Say that his demands upon Mr. Arafat to end violence should
be matched by demands upon Mr. Sharon to end the use of heavy
weapons (supplied by the U.S.) against Palestinians and to
end the siege of Palestinian towns. Ask that he and President
Bush make clear to Israel that the United States wants a real
settlement freeze now. This just might re-energize the Mitchell
Plan.
The Honorable Colin Powell
The State Department
2201 C St., NW
Washington, DC 20520
Dear Secretary Powell:
[and]
H.E. Mr. John Negroponte
Permanent Representative of the U.S.A. the United Nations
799 U.N. Plaza
New York, NY 10017-3505
Dear Ambassador Negroponte:
General Assembly
The 213th General Assembly (2001), in Withdrawal from Palestinian
Territories requests the Stated Clerk of the General Assembly
to send a letter to President George W. Bush, Vice President
Dick Cheney, Secretary of State Colin Powell, the Ambassador
of the United Nations, and all members of Congress, asking that
they urge and work with both Israelis and Palestinians to seek
a just and lasting peace.
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