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Jerusalem: Eye of the Storm

by Corinne Whitlatch
Churches for Middle East Peace

On a clear day, a sharp-eyed person standing on the heights of Jerusalem has a wide overview of Israel and the West Bank. Jerusalem is in the minds and hearts of millions of people; and on every day, from everywhere there are Jews, Christians and Muslims. In prayers, in songs and in religious art, the holy city is present, a living symbol of profound and timeless significance.

To speak literally, Jerusalem is first of all, a modern city for its residents with some concerns familiar to us such as traffic, crime, schools and discrimination. At the next literal level, Jerusalem is both Israel's designated capital, where parliamentarians deliberate in the Knesset, and the principal city of Palestinian society and the economy. Yet, ironically, Jerusalem is not recognized as Israel's capital by the international community, and the nascent state of Palestine has no sovereignty over any part of it. The Arab Christians and Muslims of East Jerusalem, which was occupied by Israel in 1967 and annexed to the state, live in a surreal situation: Following pressure from the U.S., Israel allowed the Palestinians of East Jerusalem to vote in the January elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council.

Jerusalem is at the center of the conflict and will surely be at the center of its solution, which at the present time is obscured by the thunder and lightning of political storms.

Palestinians in the Maelstrom

The Palestinian Legislative Council election results surprised many observers. The victory by candidates associated with Hamas has sparked numerous debates regarding democracy, the predicament of the Palestinian people, the role of the international donor community, and the future of Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking. Commentators argue about whom to blame for Fatah's loss, but there is widespread agreement that the elections were remarkably free and fair. Just how Palestinian governance will congeal is not easy to predict and, with events changing rapidly, the situation will differ from the time of this writing and your reading.

Hamas, with a 20-year-old charter that deserves its designation as a terrorist organization, campaigned as a domestic reform movement. Khalil Shikaki, the well-regarded Palestinian pollster, published a February 15 revision of election-day exit polling results to take into account those who refused to talk to pollsters. The "Palestinian vote for Hamas on the day of elections should not, however, be interpreted as a vote against the peace process. About 60 percent of all voters identified themselves as supporters of the peace process, while only 17 percent saw themselves as opposed to it and 23 percent saw themselves somewhere in the middle between opposition and support."

But given Hamas' history of both vitriolic rhetoric and horrific acts, and its staunch rejection of Israel's existence and negotiated agreements, the U.S. and Quartet consider it a pre-condition of foreign aid directed to a Hamas-led government that it renounce violence and recognize Israel's right to exist.

In a forum sponsored by Senators Lugar (R-IN) and Bill Nelson (D-FL), Rob Malley (a former negotiator in the Clinton Administration, now with the International Crisis Group), reminded listeners of the alternative to Hamas's victory - a Fatah-led Palestinian Authority with strong opposition from Hamas and a continued stalemate. A similar point was made by Zeev Schiff, a military analyst for Israel's Haaretz newspaper, "Deep in my heart, I know it's impossible to reach any peace agreement with the Palestinians without Hamas" because without it, the Palestinian Authority (PA) is not representative enough.

Campaign Season in Israel

As Palestinians maneuver to form their new government, which may take weeks, Israel is in full campaign mode, preparing for its national election on March 28. Tom Friedman, the widely syndicated columnist, wrote about the dovish sentiment of the voters. The Likud party launched their campaign with accusations that the new Kadima party plans to pull Israel back to the 1967 borders. Likud quickly backed off that line, Friedman surmises, because Likud realized that many Israeli voters like that idea.

Ehud Olmert, the Interim Prime Minister and Sharon's heir-apparent in leading Kadima, said Israel would retain "united Jerusalem" and that the completion of the separation barrier in the Jerusalem area is a top priority. Labor party leader Amir Peretz, an early member of Peace Now and a signer of the 2002 Geneva Accords, hastened to make clear that he too would not divide Jerusalem.

An author of the Geneva Accords and head of the leftist party Meretz, Yossi Beilin, actually opened his campaign with an ad that says: "Beilin Will Divide Jerusalem." A decade ago the campaign slogan of Likud leader Bibi Netanyahu, "Peres will divide Jerusalem," was considered a wicked libel. Today, it's a campaign slogan, indicating the proposal is no longer taboo.

What Next?

The huge political question is whether the soon-to-be elected Israeli government and the new Palestinian government will be willing and able to negotiate with each other. With Hamas defeating Fatah as lead party of the Palestinian Authority, the distinction between the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) and the PA gains new significance. It is the PLO, and not the PA, which has negotiated with and signed agreements with Israel, and Mahmoud Abbas is both President of the PA and Chairman of the PLO.

If a cease-fire holds, the weary public and wary politicians on both sides may prefer a continued stalemate. Israel may choose to act unilaterally, severing physical and diplomatic contact with the Palestinians while the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority sticks to the domestic focus of the campaign, cleaning up corruption and delivering improved living conditions in the West Bank and Gaza.

The Bush Administration is continuing to refer to the Road Map peace plan and final status negotiations. Some analysts think the Road Map is history and that a front-ended approach might be less vulnerable to sabotage. This tactic would begin with some variation of the Clinton-Taba-Geneva two-state solution plan, with the Israelis and Palestinians responsible for negotiating how to get there. One version has a draft peace-treaty put to a referendum by both Israelis and Palestinians. Caution is necessary, because another final-status push that fails cannot be risked at this time.

The Arab League document of March, 2002 may come back into play. Hamas' acceptance of the Arab peace proposal might be seen as equivalent to an explicit recognition of Israel. The plan, referred to as the "Beirut Initiative" or the "Saudi Plan," was buried in the rubble of a large terrorist attack in Netanya that was carried out by Hamas. This Saudi-initiated plan holds out the vision of the Arab Countries and Israel living "in peace and good neighborliness and provid[ing] future generations with security, stability, and prosperity" pending Israel's withdrawal from the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem. The plan stipulates that East Jerusalem would be the capital of Palestine.

"East Jerusalem is the heart of Palestinian society; without it as the Palestinian capital there is no contiguous state, no symbol of reconciliation between Jews, Muslims and Christians, no peace.... There needs to be a fresh focus by the international community on ending the occupation of East Jerusalem. Despite how much of an uphill battle it would be, I don't see any other way that would really move us toward an end to the conflict." The head of an international organization providing humanitarian services in Jerusalem and the West Bank.

Do No Harm

Seth Jones of the RAND Corporation, speaking to Congressional staffers in mid-February, predicted that substantive progress cannot be expected for two to three years because the necessary level of trust does not exist now and because the Bush Administration is engaged elsewhere. He expects an eventual settlement along the lines of the two-state solution laid out by President Clinton as well as in the Taba negotiations and Geneva Accords. For now, Jones urges a policy of limiting damage - do no harm - don't make getting to that end goal more difficult.

But some harm is being concocted in the halls of Congress and, according to press reports, by some in the Administration. There is legislation that aims to permanently restrict U.S. relations with Palestinian officials and, by means of cutting financial aid, bring the Hamas-led Palestinian government to its knees and out the door. In human terms, cuts of aid from the U.S. and the E.U., coupled with Israel's decision to retain the $50 million it collects monthly in taxes for the PA, translates into humanitarian disaster. Currently, 60 percent of the population lives below the poverty line.

We need to recognize that the victory of Hamas changes the relationship of the U.S. government and the Palestinian Authority. There is a difference between appropriate legislation intended to moderate the new Palestinian government and efforts to collectively punish the Palestinians, bringing them and aspirations of freedom to utter defeat.

Advocates for peace and justice will urge lawmakers to keep in mind that the objective still is a secure Israel that is recognized by its neighbors, and an economically viable state of Palestine, that is recognized as legitimate at home and abroad. And, central to the two-state solution of the Clinton/Taba/Geneva plans is a sharing of the sovereignty and landscape of Jerusalem.

Sowing Seeds of Peace

"Despite the fact that the current discussion on Jerusalem may seem detached from reality, as there is no indication of the renewal of the peace process and bringing an end to the conflict, the reality in the Middle East is ever-changing, and the seeds of peace must be sown ahead of time so they may bloom when the time is right." According to Ora Ahirmeir, director of the Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, Israel and the Palestinians must permit the international community to take part in the administration of Jerusalem's holy and historical sites.

This groundbreaking study from a mainstream Israeli think-tank urges the Israeli public to rethink their traditional opposition to 3rd party monitoring and settling disputes. Alternative options include territorial division of the Old City Basin (the Old City and historical sites near it) with international supervision; joint-management and distribution of powers in the basin, with international backing; and authority over the historical basin entrusted with an international body. The options of full Israeli sovereignty and full Palestinian sovereignty are deemed likely to be rejected by one side or the other.

The RAND Corporation addressed security issues regarding Jerusalem in a newly released study, "Building a Successful Palestinian State: Security," which is a companion to earlier RAND reports. From the report, "The analysis shows there is no security impediment to Jerusalem being the capital for both Israel and Palestine. There are a number of possible ways for jurisdiction and security responsibilities in East Jerusalem to be shared by the two sides. From a security perspective, there could be international aspects, especially in regard to Temple Mount (known as the Haram al-Sharif to Muslims), with either mixed Israeli-Palestinian control or participation of others."

The recommendations of an international role meshes with the principle set by the Holy See that the rights of the various communities "must be ensured" and that "the Holy City's special religious status and shrines proper to each religion should be protected by an appropriate juridical safeguard that is internationally respected and guaranteed."

In this time of uncertainty and pessimism, when Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking seems derailed, citizen advocacy is even more important. The Administration and Congress need to know that U.S. churches, church members and clergy want the United States government to place a high priority on promoting peace between Israel and the Palestinians, to prevent actions that would harm future negotiations and to recognize that sharing Jerusalem is key to a successful two-state solution to the conflict.

Advocates are asked to encourage local Church leaders to write to the President and to send copies of that letter to their representative and two senators and to Churches for Middle East Peace's office. As examples: members of a congregation could join their pastor in signing a letter; a minister might invite others in the synod or diocese to co-sign; a priest could ask clergy of neighborhood churches to sign together; a regional executive could organize a letter from the local council of churches.

Include the following points in your letter:

  • We write to urge your active, sustained leadership in promoting Israeli-Palestinian peace.
  • Our churches have long-standing policy supporting a negotiated two-state solution to the conflict that leads to a secure Israel alongside a viable state of Palestine.
  • We embrace the vision of Jerusalem as the heritage, home and hope of two peoples and three faiths, with Jerusalem as the capital of both Israel and the future state of Palestine.

Toward the goal of peace, we ask you to:

  1. reject unilateral actions by Israel that would prejudge final status negotiations on borders and the status of Jerusalem
  2. urge the Palestinian government to commit to nonviolence, to recognize Israel and to accept previous agreements
  3. continue to engage the moderate Palestinian leadership and help the Palestinian people
  4. provide assurances that Jerusalem will be shared
  5. promote religious freedom in the Holy Land and recognize the important role of the Christian community

General Assembly

"Vigorously urges the U.S. government, the government of Israel, and the Palestinian leadership to move swiftly, and with resolve, to recognize that the only way out of this chronic and vicious impasse is to abandon all approaches that exacerbate further strife, lay aside arrogant political posturing, and get on with forging negotiated compromises that open a path to peace." (Minutes, 2004, p. 853)

 
             
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